Developing a Trade Remedy Impact Assessment Methodology for Indonesia

The Project at A Glance

There is a growing need for Indonesia to protect its business community from cases of dumping, subsidies, or any unforeseen import surges. Trade remedies are legitimate instruments, catered for by international agreements, to implement in an objective and transparent fashion, countermeasures to address the damage faced by industry in such situations.
This project builds up from a previous assignment which aimed at introducing a socio-economic impact assessment framework. Based on the findings of the previous phase, International Economics developed a model for short-term and medium-term simulations of the impacts as well as for assessing public interest tests.

What We Found

The aim of the project was to develop a trade remedy impact assessment methodology that can be used in an ex-post and ex-ante setting for Indonesia. International Economics developed an assessment methodology and tested it in a scenario of ongoing anti-dumping, countervailing and safeguard cases and for assessing the impact of trade remedies in a set period in the past. The assessment methodology incorporated a gender component which determined the effects on women’s employment and income.

Our Strategy and Impact

In particular, the team developed a hybrid model that used both quantitative and qualitative inputs. An assessment of data gaps was conducted to assess which components of the model could be implemented. The data gathered was fed into a Partial Equilibrium Model which was built on an open-source platform and adapted for socio-economic impact assessment. Centre for Foreign Trade Policy (TREDA), Anti-Dumping Committee (KADI) and Safeguard Committee (KPPI) officials were also trained in collecting the data and conducting the analysis.

Our Core Solutions

Governments, international donors, and the private sector face many important questions on the expected outputs and impact before, during and after the implementation of their projects. This is where International Economics Consulting’s team of experts, using innovative methodologies to collect and analyse data, can assist you in tracking the economic, social, and environmental aspects of your project.